{"id":32729,"date":"2021-10-19T18:57:16","date_gmt":"2021-10-19T15:57:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buletin.de\/bucuresti\/?p=32729"},"modified":"2021-10-19T19:05:08","modified_gmt":"2021-10-19T16:05:08","slug":"cum-regleaza-din-pix-autoritatile-rata-din-bucuresti-rata-reala-mai-mare-decat-cea-oficiala-calcul-facut-cu-informatiile-publice-ale-grupului-de-comunicare-strategica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buletin.de\/bucuresti\/cum-regleaza-din-pix-autoritatile-rata-din-bucuresti-rata-reala-mai-mare-decat-cea-oficiala-calcul-facut-cu-informatiile-publice-ale-grupului-de-comunicare-strategica\/","title":{"rendered":"Cum regleaz\u0103 din pix autorit\u0103\u021bile rata din Bucure\u0219ti. Rata real\u0103, mai mare dec\u00e2t cea oficial\u0103. Calcul f\u0103cut cu informa\u021biile publice ale Grupului de Comunicare Strategic\u00e3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Rata inciden\u021bei \u00een Capitala a ajuns, ast\u0103zi, la 16.44, cu doar 0.02 mai mult ca ieri, de\u0219i num\u0103rul cazurilor este \u00een continu\u0103 cre\u0219tere. Ca s\u0103 ne convingem c\u0103 datele pe care ni le dau autorit\u0103\u021bile sunt cele reale, am simulat calculul inciden\u021bei, a\u0219a cum este el definit \u00een metodologia stabilit\u0103 prin Hot\u0103r\u00e2re de Guvern. Folosind datele oficiale publicate zilnic de Grupul de Comunicare Strategic\u0103 \u0219i popula\u021bia folosit\u0103 \u00een calcul de autorit\u0103\u021bi am ob\u021binut o cu totul alt\u0103 valoare a inciden\u021bei – 16.71<\/span>. Vom explicita mai jos, cum am f\u0103cut calculul.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

METODOLOGIA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00cen Hot\u0103r\u00e2rea nr. 1090\/2021<\/a> privind prelungirea st\u0103rii de alert\u0103 pe teritoriul Rom\u00e2niei \u00eencep\u00e2nd cu data de 10 octombrie 2021, precum \u0219i stabilirea m\u0103surilor care se aplic\u0103 pe durata acesteia pentru prevenirea \u0219i combaterea efectelor pandemiei de COVID-19, la articolul 13 se expliciteaz\u0103 modul \u00een care se calculeaz\u0103 rata inciden\u021bei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schematic, formula care se aplic\u0103 este num\u0103rul total de cazuri dintr-un interval de 14 zile (cuprins \u00eentre a 17-a zi \u0219i a 3-a zi anterioare datei de referin\u021b\u0103) impar\u021bit la num\u0103rul de locuitori \u0219i \u00eenmul\u021bit cu 1000. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Art. 13<\/strong> (1)<\/strong> Prin inciden\u021ba cumulat\u0103 la 14 zile se \u00een\u021belege inciden\u021ba cumulat\u0103 a cazurilor calculat\u0103 pe un interval de 14 zile, cuprins \u00eentre a 17-a zi \u0219i a 3-a zi, anterioare datei \u00een care aceasta se realizeaz\u0103, prin raportare la cifra reprezent\u00e2nd suma persoanelor cu domiciliul sau re\u0219edin\u021ba \u00een localitatea de referin\u021b\u0103, comunicat\u0103 comitetului jude\u021bean\/al municipiului Bucure\u0219ti pentru situa\u021bii de urgen\u021b\u0103 de c\u0103tre Direc\u021bia pentru Eviden\u021ba Persoanelor \u0219i Administrarea Bazelor de Date din cadrul Ministerului Afacerilor Interne, prin structurile teritoriale jude\u021bene, \u00een prima zi lucr\u0103toare a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii, la ora 16,00. Cifra comunicat\u0103 de c\u0103tre Direc\u021bia pentru Eviden\u021ba Persoanelor \u0219i Administrarea Bazelor de Date, prin structurile teritoriale jude\u021bene, este utilizat\u0103 ca referin\u021b\u0103 pentru \u00eentreaga perioad\u0103 de timp p\u00e2n\u0103 la furnizarea unui nou set de date actualizate \u0219i se transmite \u0219i Serviciului de Telecomunica\u021bii Speciale. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PERIOADA LUATA \u00ceN CALCUL<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Conform metodologiei de mai sus, pentru ziua de ast\u0103zi, 19 octombrie, se iau \u00een calcul 14 zile, \u00eencep\u00e2nd cu 2 octombrie, adic\u0103 perioada 2-15 octombrie.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NUMARUL TOTAL DE CAZURI IN 14 ZILE<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Corespunz\u0103tor perioadei de calcul a\u0219a cum a fost ea definit\u0103 mai sus, am scos din comunic\u0103rile zilnice ale Grupului de Comunicare Strategic\u0103, num\u0103rul de cazuri zilnice<\/a> raportate pentru Bucure\u0219ti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data<\/strong><\/td>Num\u0103r
de cazuri<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
2.10<\/td>2538<\/td><\/tr>
3.10<\/td>2443<\/td><\/tr>
4.10<\/td>2269<\/td><\/tr>
5.10<\/td>2515<\/td><\/tr>
6.10<\/td>2445<\/td><\/tr>
7.10<\/td>2498<\/td><\/tr>
8.10<\/td>2665<\/td><\/tr>
9.10<\/td>2543<\/td><\/tr>
10.10<\/td>2818<\/td><\/tr>
11.10<\/td>2423<\/td><\/tr>
12.10<\/td>2380<\/td><\/tr>
13.10<\/td>3119<\/td><\/tr>
14.10<\/td>3082<\/td><\/tr>
15.10<\/td>3123<\/td><\/tr>
TOTAL CAZURI<\/strong><\/td>36861<\/strong>
<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

POPULATIA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Grupul de Comunicare Strategic\u0103 public\u0103 zilnic o situa\u021bia a inciden\u021bei COVID19 \u00een principalele ora\u0219e ale \u021b\u0103rii, comunicare \u00een care apare \u0219i popula\u021bia luat\u0103 \u00een calcul pentru rata inciden\u021bei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pentru Capitala este luat\u0103 \u00een considerare o popula\u021bie de 2.205.227 locuitori.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
sursa Grupul de Comunicare Strategica<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

RATA DE INCIDEN\u021a\u0102<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Rata de inciden\u021b\u0103 la mia de locuitori, \u00een ultimele 14 zile se calculeaz\u00e4 simplu, matematic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ri=Num\u0103r total de cazuri\/Popula\u021bie * 1000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Folosind datele de mai sus, rata de inciden\u021b\u0103 \u00een Capital\u0103, ast\u0103zi 19 otombrie, este:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

RiB=36.861\/ 2.205.227=16.71 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CE SPUN AUTORIT\u0102\u021aILE<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Conform Hot\u0103r\u00e2rilor Comitetului Na\u021bional pentru pentru Situa\u021bii de Urgen\u021b\u0103<\/a>, (art. 71) rata de inciden\u021b\u0103 este calculat\u0103, zilnic, de DSP-uri. Din octombrie, prin HG 1090\/2021<\/a>, la decizia respectiv\u0103 a mai fost ad\u0103ugat un articol. Rata se calculeaz\u0103 \u0218I automat \u00een “corona-forms”, platforma care integreaz\u0103 toate informa\u021biile despre pandemie. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Art13 (3)<\/strong>Direc\u021biile de s\u0103n\u0103tate public\u0103 jude\u021bene, respectiv a municipiului Bucure\u0219ti calculeaz\u0103 zilnic, pentru fiecare localitate din zona de competen\u021b\u0103, inciden\u021ba cumulat\u0103 a cazurilor la 14 zile, astfel cum este calculat\u0103 potrivit dispozi\u021biilor alin. (1)<\/a>, \u0219i prezint\u0103 comitetului jude\u021bean\/al municipiului Bucure\u0219ti pentru situa\u021bii de urgen\u021b\u0103 analiza rezultat\u0103 \u00een cel mult 24 de ore de la data constat\u0103rii atingerii limitelor stabilite \u00een prezenta hot\u0103r\u00e2re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(4)<\/strong> Zilnic, pe baza rezultatelor testelor persoanelor nouconfirmate, gestionate \u00een aplica\u021bia “corona-forms”, Serviciul de Telecomunica\u021bii Speciale va prezenta automat, la ora 10,00, pe platforma “alerte.ms.ro”, rezultatul calculului ratei de inciden\u021b\u0103 conform formulei prev\u0103zute la alin. (1)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rata de inciden\u021b\u0103 comunicat\u0103 oficial, pe pagina de internet a DSP Bucure\u0219ti este, at\u0103zi, de 16.44.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
sursa DSP Bucuresti<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Am solicitat directorului DSP Bucure\u0219ti, Oana Niculescu, s\u0103 ne explice de ce apare aceast\u0103 diferen\u021b\u0103. Ne-a \u00eendrumat spre Ministerul S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii deoarece, sus\u021bine aceasta, calculul se face direct \u00een platforma de raportare Coronaform, \u0219i nu se mai face de c\u0103tre DSP, de\u0219i la art. 13, alin. 3 se specific\u0103 explicit acest lucru. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rata NU SE CALCULEAZA DE DSPMB. Se calculeaz\u0103 automat \u00een corona dup\u0103 ce se actualizeaz\u0103 datel<\/em>e, \u00eentrebati la Ministerul S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii, <\/em>a precizat dr. Oana Niculescu. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Ministerul S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii am vorbit cu Oana Grigore, purt\u0103tor de cuv\u00e2nt, care are alt\u0103 variant\u0103. Calcul se face la Comitetul Municipal pentru Situa\u021bii de Urgen\u021b\u0103 Bucure\u0219ti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Nu Ministerul San\u0103t\u0103\u021bii calculeaz\u0103 rata inciden\u021bei. Ea se calculeaz\u0103 \u00een cadrul comitetelor jude\u021bene pentru situa\u021bii de urgen\u021b\u0103. Vorbi\u021bi la Prefectur\u0103, v\u0103 rog frumos.<\/em>“, a spus Oana Grigore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Prefectura Bucure\u0219ti am trimis c\u00e2te un mesaj prefectului \u0219i purt\u0103torului de cuv\u00e2nt si am intrebat CINE calculeaza rata de incidenta. Purtatorul de cuvant ne-a transmis ca este in sarcina DSP acest lucru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A contribuit Florin R\u00e2\u0219teiu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rata inciden\u021bei \u00een Capitala a ajuns, ast\u0103zi, la 16.44, cu doar 0.02 mai mult ca ieri, de\u0219i num\u0103rul cazurilor este \u00een continu\u0103 cre\u0219tere. Ca s\u0103 ne convingem c\u0103 datele pe care ni le dau autorit\u0103\u021bile sunt cele reale, am simulat calculul inciden\u021bei, a\u0219a cum este el definit \u00een metodologia stabilit\u0103 prin Hot\u0103r\u00e2re de Guvern. Folosind […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":32745,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[22579],"class_list":["post-32729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stiri"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCum regleaz\u0103 din pix autorit\u0103\u021bile rata din Bucure\u0219ti. Rata real\u0103, mai mare dec\u00e2t cea oficial\u0103. Calcul f\u0103cut cu informa\u021biile publice ale Grupului de Comunicare Strategic\u00e3 - Buletin de Bucure\u0219ti<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/buletin.de\/bucuresti\/cum-regleaza-din-pix-autoritatile-rata-din-bucuresti-rata-reala-mai-mare-decat-cea-oficiala-calcul-facut-cu-informatiile-publice-ale-grupului-de-comunicare-strategica\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cum regleaz\u0103 din pix autorit\u0103\u021bile rata din Bucure\u0219ti. Rata real\u0103, mai mare dec\u00e2t cea oficial\u0103. 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