{"id":13896,"date":"2020-10-15T20:53:15","date_gmt":"2020-10-15T17:53:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buletin.de\/bucuresti\/?p=13896"},"modified":"2020-10-15T20:53:16","modified_gmt":"2020-10-15T17:53:16","slug":"3-04-este-rata-incidentei-in-capitala-grupul-de-comunicare-strategica-si-a-dat-din-nou-cu-aritmetica-in-cap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buletin.de\/bucuresti\/3-04-este-rata-incidentei-in-capitala-grupul-de-comunicare-strategica-si-a-dat-din-nou-cu-aritmetica-in-cap\/","title":{"rendered":"3.04 este rata inciden\u021bei \u00een Capital\u0103! Grupul de Comunicare Strategic\u0103 \u0219i-a dat, din nou, cu aritmetica \u00een cap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Grupul de Comunicare Strategic\u0103, a comunicat \u00een urm\u0103 cu pu\u021bin timp, c\u0103 inciden\u021ba cazurilor la 14 zile, \u00een Bucure\u0219ti, este 2,89<\/span>. \u00cen comunicat, speciali\u0219tii Grupului au \u00eencercat s\u0103 explice pas cu pas, cum au f\u0103cut calculele. Am urmat \u0219i noi aceea\u0219i pa\u0219i, dar rezultatul a fost diferit. 3,04.<\/span> Adic\u0103, SCENARIUL RO\u0218U<\/span> pentru capital\u0103. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Urm\u0103ri\u021bi mai jos demonstra\u021bia. Datele oficiale sunt colorate cu albastru, cele calculate de noi, cu ro\u0219u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comunicatul GCS: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Datele folosite \u00een stabilirea indicelui sunt urm\u0103toarele:<\/span>Num\u0103r total de persoane nou pozitivate \u00een ultimele 14 zile \u2013 6.797 <\/span>“<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Am adunat datele furnizate de acela\u0219i Grup, pe pagina, oficial\u0103, https:\/\/www.mai.gov.ro\/category\/comunicate-de-presa\/<\/a>, pentru ultimele 14 zile. Rezultatul a fost \u00eens\u0103 altul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td>ziua<\/td>nr cazuri
noi<\/td><\/tr>
 ziua 1<\/td>15-Oct<\/td>777<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 2<\/td>14-Oct<\/td>669<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 3<\/td>13-Oct<\/td>499<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 4<\/td>12-Oct<\/td>413<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 5<\/td>11-Oct<\/td>539<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 6<\/td>10-Oct<\/td>564<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 7<\/td>9-Oct<\/td>579<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 8<\/td>8-Oct<\/td>549<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 9<\/td>7-Oct<\/td>514<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 10<\/td>6-Oct<\/td>403<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 11<\/td>5-Oct<\/td>562<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 12<\/td>4-Oct<\/td>336<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 13<\/td>3-Oct<\/td>206<\/td><\/tr>
ziua 14<\/td>2-Oct<\/td>517<\/td><\/tr>
total
cazuri noi<\/td>		<\/td>7127<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

CONCLUZIA : num\u0103rul luat \u00een calcul de autorit\u0103\u021bi este eronat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Num\u0103rul real de noi cazuri \u00een Bucure\u0219ti, \u00een ultimele 14 zile, este 7127<\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comunicatul GCS:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Num\u0103r total de cazuri \u00een focare \u2013 447 (cifr\u0103 care se scade din cea a nou pozitiva\u021bilor \u00een ultimele 14 zile) Popula\u021bia Bucure\u0219tiului la care se face raportarea \u2013 2.196.979<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inciden\u021ba cazurilor la 14 zile \u00een Capital\u0103, din informa\u021biile primite de la DSP Bucure\u0219ti, este 2,89<\/span>.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Refacem \u0219i noi calculul, dup\u0103 formula:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rata de infectare =(nr. cazuri noi – nr cazuri in focare)\/popula\u021bia de referin\u021b\u0103 * 1000<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Calculul cu datele oficiale este <\/p>\n\n\n\n

rata = (6797-447)\/2196979*1000=2,89<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu datele corecte privind num\u0103rul de cazuri noi<\/p>\n\n\n\n

rata = (7127-447)\/2196979*1000=3.04<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3,04 \u00eenseamn\u0103, conform hot\u0103r\u00e2rilor de Guvern \u00een vigoare, intrarea Capitalei \u00een Scenariul Ro\u0219u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0218i nu doar acest calcul le-a dat de furc\u0103 autorit\u0103\u021bilor. Au gre\u0219it \u0219i num\u0103rul raportat de teste. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nr. total de teste raportate pe 15 octombrie – 2.770.481<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nr. total de teste raportate pe 14 octombrie – 2.740.624<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diferen\u021ba – 29857<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u0103t a raportat grupul? – 29.646<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

De ast\u0103zi a intrat \u00een vigoare noua modalitate de calcul a inciden\u021bei cumulate pentru ultimele 14 zile, \u00een care nu se iau \u00een considerare cazurile ap\u0103rute \u00een focare \u00eenchise. \u0218i tot de ast\u0103zi, popula\u021bia de referin\u021b\u0103 folosit\u0103 la acest calcul este cea furnizat\u0103, s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nal, de Eviden\u021ba Popula\u021biei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Grupul de Comunicare Strategic\u0103, a comunicat \u00een urm\u0103 cu pu\u021bin timp, c\u0103 inciden\u021ba cazurilor la 14 zile, \u00een Bucure\u0219ti, este 2,89. \u00cen comunicat, speciali\u0219tii Grupului au \u00eencercat s\u0103 explice pas cu pas, cum au f\u0103cut calculele. Am urmat \u0219i noi aceea\u0219i pa\u0219i, dar rezultatul a fost diferit. 3,04. Adic\u0103, SCENARIUL RO\u0218U pentru capital\u0103. Urm\u0103ri\u021bi mai […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":13886,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[22579],"class_list":["post-13896","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-diverse"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n3.04 este rata inciden\u021bei \u00een Capital\u0103! 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